Aleksander Barkov vs Dylan Larkin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 52.7%). Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 79 meetings). Barkov wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs Larkin 52.7% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 126-100 in 226 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 53.4%
Defensive zone
Barkov 51.9%
Neutral zone
Barkov 51.9%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Barkov
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
100
-
126
(226 meetings)
100
126
Barkov
Larkin
Last 10: Barkov 4-6 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
33
46
Barkov
Larkin
79 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
30
38
Barkov
Larkin
68 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
37
42
Barkov
Larkin
79 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
51.7% (9,019)
+0.7%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
58.5% (2,125)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
50.2% (1,122)
-2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Barkov is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,144).
Barkov shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Home / Away
Barkov
Larkin
Home
53.8% (7,227)
54.0% (6,238)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
51.3% (6,028)
By Period
Barkov
Larkin
P1
52.7%
52.7%
P2
53.4%
53.1%
P3
52.9%
52.1%
OT
53.0%
58.4%
Final 5 min
54.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:30 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:27 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 30, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 18:18 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 11:21 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 18:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |