Aleksander Barkov vs Dylan Larkin
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 54.4%). Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Barkov wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs Larkin 54.1% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 15-12 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 53.0%
Defensive zone
Barkov 56.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 50.9%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Barkov
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
15
(27 meetings)
12
15
Barkov
Larkin
Last 10: Barkov 3-7 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
7
Barkov
Larkin
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
6
3
Barkov
Larkin
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
5
Barkov
Larkin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
53.6% (886)
-0.5%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
59.3% (317)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (193)
48.7% (152)
+2.1%
On power play, Barkov has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Barkov is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Barkov shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Home / Away
Barkov
Larkin
Home
58.1% (627)
56.6% (700)
Away
52.1% (705)
52.1% (655)
By Period
Barkov
Larkin
P1
53.3%
55.4%
P2
55.0%
54.7%
P3
56.0%
52.7%
OT
60.9%
59.1%
Final 5 min
55.5%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 18:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 14:16 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 01:36 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 00:24 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 07:30 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 02:33 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 15:37 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 2 | 08:30 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |