Aleksander Barkov vs Dylan Larkin
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Barkov wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Larkin 55.0% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 50.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 59.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 56.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Barkov
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Barkov
Larkin
Last 10: Barkov 3-7 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
2
Barkov
Larkin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Larkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
5
Barkov
Larkin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
55.9% (943)
+1.0%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
57.4% (244)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
46.2% (106)
-1.0%
On power play, Barkov has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Barkov is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Barkov shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Home / Away
Barkov
Larkin
Home
57.4% (540)
56.0% (654)
Away
57.1% (560)
54.8% (639)
By Period
Barkov
Larkin
P1
57.6%
54.4%
P2
56.6%
55.9%
P3
56.9%
55.2%
OT
72.2%
64.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 18:18 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 11:21 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |