Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +22.3% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs Hughes 38.0% (+22.3%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 55.0%
Defensive zone
Barkov 69.6%
Neutral zone
Barkov 56.9%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Barkov
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
34.5% (342)
+22.5%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
42.9% (7)
+20.9%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
25.0% (4)
+23.3%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Barkov is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Barkov shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Barkov
Hughes
Home
59.2% (557)
32.6% (187)
Away
55.1% (695)
36.7% (166)
By Period
Barkov
Hughes
P1
56.7%
33.9%
P2
54.8%
34.2%
P3
59.7%
36.5%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
29.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%