Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +19.6% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs Hughes 37.9% (+19.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 66.8%
Defensive zone
Barkov 96.4%
Neutral zone
Barkov 87.5%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 93.5%
93.5%
6.5%
Barkov
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Barkov
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
0
Barkov
Hughes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
34.9% (444)
+18.2%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
50.0% (14)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (193)
33.3% (6)
+17.5%
On even strength, Barkov has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Barkov is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Barkov shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Barkov
Hughes
Home
58.1% (627)
37.4% (235)
Away
52.1% (705)
33.2% (229)
By Period
Barkov
Hughes
P1
53.3%
37.1%
P2
55.0%
33.7%
P3
56.0%
34.8%
OT
60.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
32.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 07:54 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 16:47 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |