Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +20.1% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Hughes 40.3% (+20.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 72.1%
Defensive zone
Barkov 93.0%
Neutral zone
Barkov 90.5%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 84.2%
84.2%
15.8%
Barkov
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Barkov
Hughes
Last 5: Barkov 4-1 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Hughes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
0
Barkov
Hughes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
35.6% (281)
+21.3%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
50.0% (36)
+13.3%
On even strength, Barkov has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Barkov is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Barkov shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Barkov
Hughes
Home
57.4% (540)
38.4% (198)
Away
57.1% (560)
35.3% (119)
By Period
Barkov
Hughes
P1
57.6%
44.3%
P2
56.6%
34.2%
P3
56.9%
34.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 07:25 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 1 | 08:47 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |