Aleksander Barkov vs Jordan Staal
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (66% H2H, 108 meetings). Barkov wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs Staal 55.3% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 163-152 in 315 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 58.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 70.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 62.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Barkov
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
163
-
152
(315 meetings)
163
152
Barkov
Staal
Last 10: Barkov 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
71
37
Barkov
Staal
108 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
38
52
Barkov
Staal
90 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
54
63
Barkov
Staal
117 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
55.9% (14,620)
-3.5%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
62.7% (1,745)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
48.0% (2,896)
-0.2%
On power play, Staal has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Barkov is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,144).
Barkov shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
Barkov
Staal
Home
53.8% (7,227)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Barkov
Staal
P1
52.7%
55.2%
P2
53.4%
55.9%
P3
52.9%
54.9%
OT
53.0%
56.2%
Final 5 min
54.5%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 11:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 08:01 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 08:30 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 06:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 06:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 03:44 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 19:41 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |