Aleksander Barkov vs Jordan Staal
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Barkov wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Staal 54.2% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 80.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 80.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 66.1%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Barkov
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Barkov
Staal
Last 10: Barkov 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
6
1
Barkov
Staal
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
4
Barkov
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Barkov
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
57.0% (1,017)
-1.5%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
57.7% (26)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
45.1% (286)
+1.6%
On power play, Barkov has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Barkov shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Home / Away
Barkov
Staal
Home
56.4% (550)
54.3% (667)
Away
56.7% (476)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Barkov
Staal
P1
56.5%
56.2%
P2
55.5%
57.0%
P3
57.9%
49.7%
OT
50.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
58.7%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 11:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 08:01 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 08:30 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 06:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 06:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |