Aleksander Barkov vs Jordan Staal
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 55.7%). Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Barkov wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs Staal 55.3% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 60.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 58.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 53.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Barkov
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
12
(22 meetings)
10
12
Barkov
Staal
Last 10: Barkov 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
6
2
Barkov
Staal
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
8
Barkov
Staal
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Barkov
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
56.3% (1,115)
-3.2%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
61.2% (67)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (193)
52.1% (292)
-1.3%
On even strength, Staal has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Barkov is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Barkov shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Barkov
Staal
Home
58.1% (627)
58.3% (705)
Away
52.1% (705)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Barkov
Staal
P1
53.3%
54.5%
P2
55.0%
58.2%
P3
56.0%
54.1%
OT
60.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 15:15 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 09:28 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 03:55 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 3 | 03:50 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 13:29 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 04:58 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 00:57 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 15:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 07:39 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 04:53 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 04:38 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |