Aleksander Barkov vs Jordan Staal
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.3% vs 58.1%). Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Barkov wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Staal 57.6% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 75.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 76.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 57.0%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Barkov
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Barkov
Staal
Last 10: Barkov 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
4
2
Barkov
Staal
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
6
Barkov
Staal
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
58.9% (1,096)
-2.0%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
68.4% (57)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
51.8% (222)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Barkov is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Barkov shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Barkov
Staal
Home
57.4% (540)
57.0% (646)
Away
57.1% (560)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Barkov
Staal
P1
57.6%
55.9%
P2
56.6%
55.4%
P3
56.9%
62.0%
OT
72.2%
70.4%
Final 5 min
57.3%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 03:44 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 19:41 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 17:51 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 16:59 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 16:39 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 19:08 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 11:51 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 12:22 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |