Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Barkov wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs Norris 51.0% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 63.5%
Defensive zone
Barkov 59.8%
Neutral zone
Barkov 50.2%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Barkov
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Barkov
Norris
Last 10: Barkov 4-6 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
2
Barkov
Norris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Barkov
Norris
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
1
Barkov
Norris
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
51.2% (886)
+5.8%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
59.0% (83)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
38.8% (67)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Barkov is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Barkov shoots left. Norris is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Barkov
Norris
Home
59.2% (557)
55.6% (487)
Away
55.1% (695)
47.0% (549)
By Period
Barkov
Norris
P1
56.7%
54.8%
P2
54.8%
51.3%
P3
59.7%
48.0%
OT
55.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.4%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 14:22 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 16:22 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 04:35 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 19:12 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 18:59 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 13:07 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |