Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Norris 51.9% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 62.9%
Defensive zone
Norris 66.3%
Neutral zone
Norris 65.1%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Barkov
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Barkov
Norris
Last 6: Barkov 2-4 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Norris
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
2
Barkov
Norris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Norris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
52.2% (542)
+4.7%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
54.4% (57)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
46.7% (30)
-1.5%
On power play, Barkov has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Barkov is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Barkov shoots left. Norris is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Barkov
Norris
Home
57.4% (540)
50.7% (351)
Away
57.1% (560)
54.0% (278)
By Period
Barkov
Norris
P1
57.6%
55.6%
P2
56.6%
49.3%
P3
56.9%
52.1%
OT
72.2%
42.9%
Final 5 min
57.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 07:35 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 17:41 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 02:25 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 02:22 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 08:45 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Josh Norris |