Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs Eller 49.5% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 66.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 66.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Barkov
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Barkov
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
51.1% (786)
+5.9%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
45.0% (80)
+18.8%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
43.6% (165)
+4.7%
On power play, Barkov has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Barkov is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Barkov shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Home / Away
Barkov
Eller
Home
59.2% (557)
51.2% (510)
Away
55.1% (695)
47.8% (521)
By Period
Barkov
Eller
P1
56.7%
50.7%
P2
54.8%
49.0%
P3
59.7%
48.3%
OT
55.6%
56.3%
Final 5 min
59.4%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 15:50 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |