Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Eller 52.0% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 85.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 77.3%
Neutral zone
Barkov 58.2%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 85.3%
85.3%
14.7%
Barkov
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Barkov
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
1
Barkov
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
52.8% (742)
+4.1%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
67.6% (34)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
46.2% (156)
-1.0%
On power play, Eller has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Barkov is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Barkov shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Barkov
Eller
Home
57.4% (540)
54.5% (448)
Away
57.1% (560)
50.2% (484)
By Period
Barkov
Eller
P1
57.6%
52.8%
P2
56.6%
50.9%
P3
56.9%
53.4%
OT
72.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2024 | 3 | 04:33 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 2 | 09:46 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |