Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs Eller 53.3% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 65.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 67.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 55.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Barkov
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Barkov
Eller
Last 8: Barkov 4-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Barkov
Eller
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
53.8% (865)
-0.7%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
57.1% (21)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (193)
52.6% (137)
-1.8%
On power play, Barkov has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Barkov is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Barkov shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
Barkov
Eller
Home
58.1% (627)
56.4% (486)
Away
52.1% (705)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Barkov
Eller
P1
53.3%
55.1%
P2
55.0%
55.3%
P3
56.0%
51.7%
OT
60.9%
27.3%
Final 5 min
55.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 13:04 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 14:30 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 05:55 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 10:22 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 01:37 | Offensive | Lars Eller |