Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.0% vs Dowd 49.8% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 77.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 81.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 60.7%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Barkov
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Barkov
Dowd
Last 5: Barkov 2-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
0
Barkov
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Barkov
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Barkov
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (851)
50.7% (379)
+1.9%
Power Play
60.8% (286)
64.3% (14)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (66)
46.5% (157)
+0.5%
On power play, Dowd has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Barkov is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (427).
Barkov shoots left. Dowd is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (381).
Home / Away
Barkov
Dowd
Home
54.4% (653)
53.7% (244)
Away
54.2% (550)
46.6% (307)
By Period
Barkov
Dowd
P1
52.7%
53.6%
P2
57.6%
44.1%
P3
53.2%
51.9%
Final 5 min
58.5%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 06:43 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 19:08 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 05:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |