Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Barkov wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs Roy 48.9% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 56.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 59.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 57.0%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Barkov
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Barkov
Roy
Last 6: Barkov 3-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
2
Barkov
Roy
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Barkov
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
49.5% (746)
+7.5%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
50.7% (75)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
42.7% (110)
+5.6%
On power play, Barkov has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Barkov is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Barkov shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Barkov
Roy
Home
59.2% (557)
47.7% (491)
Away
55.1% (695)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Barkov
Roy
P1
56.7%
51.1%
P2
54.8%
44.6%
P3
59.7%
50.9%
OT
55.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
59.4%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:22 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 08:35 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 02:12 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 13:58 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |