Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Roy 47.9% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 72.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 75.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 57.5%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Barkov
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Barkov
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
0
Barkov
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Barkov
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Barkov
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
48.6% (679)
+6.9%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
48.0% (50)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
34.7% (49)
+12.0%
On power play, Barkov has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Barkov is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (403).
Barkov shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Barkov
Roy
Home
56.4% (550)
49.3% (345)
Away
56.7% (476)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Barkov
Roy
P1
56.5%
47.6%
P2
55.5%
47.1%
P3
57.9%
47.9%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 05:03 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |