Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Roy 47.2% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 93.0%
Defensive zone
Barkov 54.0%
Neutral zone
Barkov 83.7%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Barkov
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Barkov
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
0
Barkov
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
47.5% (617)
+9.4%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
39.6% (53)
+23.7%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
46.4% (97)
-1.2%
On power play, Barkov has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Barkov is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Barkov shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Barkov
Roy
Home
57.4% (540)
47.2% (398)
Away
57.1% (560)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Barkov
Roy
P1
57.6%
48.6%
P2
56.6%
48.8%
P3
56.9%
43.9%
OT
72.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |