Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 53.9%). Look for Kuraly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.5% vs Kuraly 53.2% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 75.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 53.6%
Neutral zone
Barkov 59.1%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Barkov
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Barkov
Kuraly
Last 7: Barkov 1-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Barkov
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Barkov
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Barkov
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (1,377)
54.5% (464)
+0.0%
Power Play
54.7% (340)
0.0% (1)
+54.7%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (222)
50.0% (66)
-2.7%
On power play, Barkov has a +54.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Barkov is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,222).
Barkov shoots left. Kuraly is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Barkov
Kuraly
Home
54.5% (948)
52.3% (281)
Away
52.9% (991)
55.6% (250)
By Period
Barkov
Kuraly
P1
55.2%
56.0%
P2
54.2%
60.8%
P3
52.3%
44.3%
OT
43.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2019 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 3 | 07:33 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 2 | 05:57 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 2 | 02:21 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 13:56 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 06:00 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |