Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Barkov wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs Kuraly 49.5% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 88.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 59.7%
Neutral zone
Barkov 72.3%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Barkov
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Barkov
Kuraly
Last 10: Barkov 7-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
5
0
Barkov
Kuraly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
6
Barkov
Kuraly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
4
0
Barkov
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
52.3% (982)
+4.7%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
41.9% (43)
+21.9%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
39.2% (245)
+9.1%
On power play, Barkov has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Barkov is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Barkov shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Barkov
Kuraly
Home
59.2% (557)
50.3% (680)
Away
55.1% (695)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Barkov
Kuraly
P1
56.7%
49.5%
P2
54.8%
49.6%
P3
59.7%
49.0%
OT
55.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
59.4%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 07:27 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 18:44 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 01:54 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 18:04 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 2 | 11:45 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 1 | 14:02 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 16:08 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 02:00 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |