Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Barkov wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 13-13 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 80.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 79.5%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 57.7%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Barkov
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
13
(26 meetings)
13
13
Barkov
Kuraly
Last 10: Barkov 7-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
8
2
Barkov
Kuraly
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
6
Barkov
Kuraly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Barkov
Kuraly
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
49.2% (901)
+3.9%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
68.2% (22)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (193)
49.8% (219)
+1.0%
On power play, Kuraly has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Barkov is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Barkov shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Barkov
Kuraly
Home
58.1% (627)
51.7% (603)
Away
52.1% (705)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Barkov
Kuraly
P1
53.3%
50.9%
P2
55.0%
49.5%
P3
56.0%
49.1%
OT
60.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 18:51 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 10:26 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 10:37 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:05 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 20, 2022 | 3 | 17:21 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 20, 2022 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 20, 2022 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 20, 2022 | 3 | 07:55 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:13 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 20, 2022 | 2 | 19:01 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 20, 2022 | 2 | 15:07 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 20, 2022 | 2 | 06:35 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 20, 2022 | 2 | 02:53 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |