Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs Pinto 51.9% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 66.2%
Defensive zone
Pinto 70.0%
Neutral zone
Pinto 67.6%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Barkov
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Barkov
Pinto
Last 5: Barkov 0-5 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
2
Barkov
Pinto
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
3
Barkov
Pinto
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
52.5% (825)
+0.6%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
40.0% (10)
+23.4%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (193)
44.4% (27)
+6.4%
On power play, Barkov has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Barkov is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Barkov shoots left. Pinto is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Home / Away
Barkov
Pinto
Home
58.1% (627)
52.8% (453)
Away
52.1% (705)
51.3% (409)
By Period
Barkov
Pinto
P1
53.3%
49.0%
P2
55.0%
53.5%
P3
56.0%
53.7%
OT
60.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 13:30 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 13:18 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 03:03 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 13:22 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |