Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Barkov wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Pinto 50.5% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Pinto leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Pinto 60.4%
Defensive zone
Pinto 83.1%
Neutral zone
Pinto 68.0%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Barkov
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Barkov
Pinto
Last 10: Barkov 4-6 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
3
0
Barkov
Pinto
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
4
Barkov
Pinto
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
4
6
Barkov
Pinto
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
51.2% (463)
+5.7%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
50.0% (14)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
36.8% (19)
+8.4%
On power play, Barkov has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Barkov is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Barkov shoots left. Pinto is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Barkov
Pinto
Home
57.4% (540)
52.2% (205)
Away
57.1% (560)
49.5% (291)
By Period
Barkov
Pinto
P1
57.6%
48.7%
P2
56.6%
51.8%
P3
56.9%
51.2%
OT
72.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 17:58 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 14:39 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:02 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 19:25 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 02:20 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:08 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 15:45 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 11:40 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 02:38 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 05:12 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 16:27 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 08:46 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 05:54 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 02:46 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |