Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Pinto 50.1% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 80.5%
Defensive zone
Pinto 82.8%
Neutral zone
Pinto 61.7%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Barkov
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Barkov
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Pinto
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Barkov
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
50.4% (779)
+5.1%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
55.2% (29)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
44.9% (78)
+1.8%
On power play, Barkov has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Barkov is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (403).
Barkov shoots left. Pinto is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Barkov
Pinto
Home
56.4% (550)
52.4% (454)
Away
56.7% (476)
47.7% (432)
By Period
Barkov
Pinto
P1
56.5%
48.1%
P2
55.5%
52.9%
P3
57.9%
49.3%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 07:59 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |