Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. DeBrincat wins 26.1% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
DeBrincat 45.1% vs Schmaltz 48.4% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
DeBrincat 51.1%
Defensive zone
DeBrincat 51.4%
Neutral zone
DeBrincat 58.2%
Result
Alex DeBrincat favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
DeBrincat
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
DeBrincat
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
DeBrincat
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
DeBrincat
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (61)
42.9% (133)
-3.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
55.1% (89)
-55.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
47.1% (17)
-47.1%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +55.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. DeBrincat is 26.1% vs right-shot opponents (23).
DeBrincat shoots right. Schmaltz is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
DeBrincat
Schmaltz
Home
35.5% (31)
41.6% (125)
Away
39.4% (33)
54.4% (114)
By Period
DeBrincat
Schmaltz
P1
21.4%
40.0%
P2
33.3%
59.5%
P3
50.0%
45.0%
OT
43.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
30.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
DeBrincat
38.0%▼
43.5%
37.5%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2022 | OT | 01:27 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |