Scouting Report
Alex DeBrincat holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
DeBrincat 47.8% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+1.1%)
Offensive zone
DeBrincat 51.3%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 66.8%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 57.9%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
DeBrincat
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
DeBrincat
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (29)
38.5% (309)
+13.2%
Power Play
11.1% (9)
53.2% (79)
-42.1%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. DeBrincat is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (13).
DeBrincat shoots right. Schmaltz is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
DeBrincat
Schmaltz
Home
27.8% (18)
38.0% (184)
Away
55.0% (20)
43.5% (216)
By Period
DeBrincat
Schmaltz
P1
44.4%
40.3%
P2
30.8%
39.9%
P3
57.1%
40.7%
Final 5 min
44.4%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
DeBrincat
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.1%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%