Scouting Report
Alex DeBrincat holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
DeBrincat 50.4% vs Schmaltz 45.0% (+12.6%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 66.6%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 59.4%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 53.0%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
DeBrincat
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
DeBrincat
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (18)
37.7% (53)
+12.3%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
40.9% (44)
+59.1%
On power play, DeBrincat has a +59.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. DeBrincat is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (6).
DeBrincat shoots right. Schmaltz is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
DeBrincat
Schmaltz
Home
50.0% (8)
34.7% (49)
Away
54.5% (11)
45.1% (51)
By Period
DeBrincat
Schmaltz
P1
66.7%
25.9%
P2
37.5%
46.2%
P3
60.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
100.0%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
DeBrincat
38.0%▼
43.5%
52.6%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%