Scouting Report
Alex Laferriere holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laferriere 50.4% vs Nelson 45.8% (+8.6%)
Offensive zone
Laferriere 52.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 74.1%
Neutral zone
Nelson 59.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Laferriere
Nelson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laferriere
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (12)
46.1% (735)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
30.4% (23)
-30.4%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +30.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Laferriere is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (11).
Laferriere shoots right. Nelson is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
Laferriere
Nelson
Home
80.0% (5)
48.7% (419)
Away
37.5% (8)
41.3% (368)
By Period
Laferriere
Nelson
P1
50.0%
44.6%
P2
50.0%
47.3%
P3
60.0%
43.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
39.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
44.0%▲
40.0%
53.8%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%