Alex Laferriere vs Brock Nelson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Laferriere on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Laferriere wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laferriere 42.5% vs Nelson 48.3% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 84.5%
Defensive zone
Nelson 78.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 77.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 81.2%
18.8%
81.2%
Laferriere
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Laferriere
Nelson
Last 6: Laferriere 4-2 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Laferriere
2
1
Laferriere
Nelson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laferriere
1
0
Laferriere
Nelson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Laferriere
Nelson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laferriere
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (424)
47.9% (9,695)
-6.4%
Power Play
50.0% (20)
54.5% (1,132)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (75)
43.8% (783)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Laferriere is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (380).
Laferriere shoots right. Nelson is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,075).
Home / Away
Laferriere
Nelson
Home
40.2% (246)
50.0% (5,845)
Away
41.8% (273)
46.5% (5,766)
By Period
Laferriere
Nelson
P1
36.3%
48.7%
P2
39.3%
48.5%
P3
44.9%
47.7%
OT
100.0%
45.6%
Final 5 min
39.1%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
44.0%▲
40.0%
41.0%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 12:57 | Defensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 08:47 | Offensive | Alex Laferriere |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 08:32 | Neutral | Alex Laferriere |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 17:30 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 08:12 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Alex Laferriere |