Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Laferriere wins 39.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laferriere 43.7% vs Nelson 51.9% (-15.0%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 51.9%
Defensive zone
Nelson 59.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 55.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Laferriere
Nelson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laferriere
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
37.8% (90)
51.3% (1,002)
-13.5%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
58.7% (126)
-25.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
51.9% (81)
-26.9%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Laferriere is 39.2% vs left-shot opponents (74).
Laferriere shoots right. Nelson is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Laferriere
Nelson
Home
35.0% (40)
52.5% (590)
Away
38.6% (57)
51.7% (619)
By Period
Laferriere
Nelson
P1
46.9%
50.5%
P2
34.5%
54.4%
P3
30.6%
51.4%
Final 5 min
28.0%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
44.0%▲
40.0%
37.1%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%