Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laferriere 50.4% vs Hertl 56.8% (-3.7%)
Offensive zone
Laferriere 52.1%
Defensive zone
Hertl 74.8%
Neutral zone
Hertl 62.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Laferriere
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laferriere
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (12)
57.0% (718)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
44.2% (77)
-44.2%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +44.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Laferriere is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (11).
Laferriere shoots right. Hertl is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Laferriere
Hertl
Home
80.0% (5)
59.2% (463)
Away
37.5% (8)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Laferriere
Hertl
P1
50.0%
56.3%
P2
50.0%
55.4%
P3
60.0%
60.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laferriere
44.0%▲
40.0%
53.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%