Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 47.1% vs Tavares 58.7% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 62.0%
Defensive zone
Newhook 66.8%
Neutral zone
Newhook 66.7%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Newhook
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Newhook
Tavares
Last 8: Newhook 3-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
1
Newhook
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Newhook
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (419)
59.2% (1,035)
-14.3%
Power Play
57.7% (71)
60.0% (310)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
42.9% (7)
-42.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Newhook is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (316).
Newhook shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Newhook
Tavares
Home
45.1% (246)
57.5% (668)
Away
48.0% (246)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Newhook
Tavares
P1
44.7%
58.0%
P2
49.7%
60.1%
P3
43.9%
61.0%
OT
66.7%
27.8%
Final 5 min
56.1%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
46.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 17:51 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 02:54 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 09:54 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:38 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 01:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |