Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 44.9% vs Tavares 57.2% (-16.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 85.8%
Defensive zone
Newhook 75.6%
Neutral zone
Newhook 82.4%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Newhook
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Newhook
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Newhook
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Newhook
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Newhook
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (149)
58.0% (914)
-16.4%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
57.0% (235)
-37.0%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
57.9% (19)
-3.4%
On power play, Tavares has a +37.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Newhook is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Newhook shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Newhook
Tavares
Home
44.1% (93)
57.8% (614)
Away
38.9% (72)
57.8% (554)
By Period
Newhook
Tavares
P1
36.0%
58.0%
P2
37.9%
56.9%
P3
52.1%
58.4%
OT
100.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
35.1%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 06:37 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 10:24 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 02:06 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |