Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 43.9% vs Tavares 57.7% (-15.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 53.4%
Defensive zone
Tavares 71.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Newhook
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Newhook
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Newhook
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (499)
57.7% (998)
-15.0%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
60.5% (271)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
56.4% (39)
+43.6%
On penalty kill, Newhook has a +43.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Newhook is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Newhook shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Newhook
Tavares
Home
39.6% (278)
59.7% (610)
Away
46.1% (280)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Newhook
Tavares
P1
37.3%
57.2%
P2
42.9%
58.5%
P3
47.3%
59.4%
OT
100.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
47.1%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
42.8%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 14:14 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 12:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |