Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 36.1% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 37.8% vs Backlund 50.5% (-15.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 56.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 51.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.0%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Newhook
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Newhook
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Newhook
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
35.2% (355)
51.5% (983)
-16.3%
Power Play
29.4% (34)
49.4% (87)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
45.3% (159)
-12.0%
On power play, Backlund has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Newhook is 36.1% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Newhook shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Newhook
Backlund
Home
38.1% (189)
51.6% (653)
Away
31.5% (203)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Newhook
Backlund
P1
33.9%
50.0%
P2
36.3%
49.8%
P3
33.8%
51.7%
Final 5 min
34.9%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
34.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:04 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:43 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:31 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |