Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 47.1% vs Backlund 50.3% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 71.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 72.3%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Newhook
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Newhook
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Newhook
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (419)
51.0% (1,205)
-6.1%
Power Play
57.7% (71)
59.3% (108)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
42.3% (234)
-42.3%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +42.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Newhook is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (316).
Newhook shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
Newhook
Backlund
Home
45.1% (246)
51.2% (782)
Away
48.0% (246)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Newhook
Backlund
P1
44.7%
51.5%
P2
49.7%
49.8%
P3
43.9%
49.9%
OT
66.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
46.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 17:55 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |