Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 43.9% vs Backlund 48.5% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 84.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 79.8%
Neutral zone
Newhook 55.1%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Newhook
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Newhook
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Newhook
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Newhook
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (499)
50.4% (1,032)
-7.7%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
52.3% (107)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
40.6% (313)
+59.4%
On penalty kill, Newhook has a +59.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Newhook is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Newhook shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Newhook
Backlund
Home
39.6% (278)
48.7% (749)
Away
46.1% (280)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Newhook
Backlund
P1
37.3%
50.4%
P2
42.9%
50.1%
P3
47.3%
45.8%
OT
100.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
47.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▼
44.0%
42.8%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 15:38 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 16:06 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |