Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 40.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 43.9% vs Dowd 49.9% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 92.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 88.4%
Neutral zone
Newhook 52.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Newhook
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Newhook
Dowd
Last 7: Newhook 3-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
0
Newhook
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Newhook
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Newhook
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (499)
52.2% (835)
-9.5%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
60.0% (10)
-16.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.0% (350)
+56.0%
On penalty kill, Newhook has a +56.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Newhook is 40.8% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Newhook shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Newhook
Dowd
Home
39.6% (278)
51.5% (619)
Away
46.1% (280)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Newhook
Dowd
P1
37.3%
51.7%
P2
42.9%
51.6%
P3
47.3%
47.0%
OT
100.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
47.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
42.8%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 17:30 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 17:19 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 15:06 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 04:57 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 12:37 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |