Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 44.9% vs Dowd 49.1% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 86.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 78.9%
Neutral zone
Newhook 52.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 78.9%
21.1%
78.9%
Newhook
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Newhook
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Newhook
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (149)
51.7% (644)
-10.1%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
0.0% (2)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
41.6% (221)
+12.9%
On power play, Newhook has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Newhook is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Newhook shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Newhook
Dowd
Home
44.1% (93)
48.6% (451)
Away
38.9% (72)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Newhook
Dowd
P1
36.0%
49.1%
P2
37.9%
47.3%
P3
52.1%
51.4%
OT
100.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
35.1%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |