Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Newhook on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 39.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.1% vs Dowd 50.7% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Newhook leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Newhook 63.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 68.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 78.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Newhook
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Newhook
Dowd
Last 10: Newhook 5-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
3
0
Newhook
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
3
Newhook
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Newhook
Dowd
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (1,922)
52.4% (6,009)
-10.9%
Power Play
43.8% (208)
56.1% (164)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
44.1% (1,635)
+3.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Newhook is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (836).
Newhook shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Newhook
Dowd
Home
41.6% (1,061)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
42.0% (1,086)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Newhook
Dowd
P1
39.9%
51.7%
P2
41.9%
50.4%
P3
43.1%
50.3%
OT
80.0%
45.9%
Final 5 min
43.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 17:30 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 2 | 17:19 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 1 | 15:06 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 04:57 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 12:37 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 19:31 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 02:36 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |