Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 36.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 37.8% vs Zegras 41.5% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 58.8%
Defensive zone
Newhook 80.2%
Neutral zone
Newhook 60.6%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Newhook
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Newhook
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
2
Newhook
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
35.2% (355)
39.4% (510)
-4.2%
Power Play
29.4% (34)
47.1% (34)
-17.7%
On power play, Zegras has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Newhook is 36.1% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Newhook shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Newhook
Zegras
Home
38.1% (189)
42.3% (272)
Away
31.5% (203)
37.5% (272)
By Period
Newhook
Zegras
P1
33.9%
37.6%
P2
36.3%
41.5%
P3
33.8%
40.8%
Final 5 min
34.9%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
34.7%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 16:07 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |