Scouting Report
Alex Newhook holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 44.9% vs Zegras 35.4% (+11.5%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 63.5%
Defensive zone
Newhook 68.0%
Neutral zone
Zegras 52.2%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Newhook
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (149)
29.6% (230)
+12.0%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
32.1% (56)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
100.0% (1)
-45.5%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Newhook is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Newhook shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Newhook
Zegras
Home
44.1% (93)
30.6% (147)
Away
38.9% (72)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Newhook
Zegras
P1
36.0%
33.0%
P2
37.9%
31.7%
P3
52.1%
25.6%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
35.1%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%