Scouting Report
Alex Newhook holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Newhook on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Newhook wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.1% vs Zegras 39.2% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 57.6%
Defensive zone
Newhook 83.0%
Neutral zone
Newhook 62.6%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Newhook
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Newhook
Zegras
Last 9: Newhook 6-3 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Zegras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
4
0
Newhook
Zegras
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
2
Newhook
Zegras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (1,922)
38.6% (1,669)
+2.9%
Power Play
43.8% (208)
38.5% (148)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
28.6% (7)
+18.5%
On penalty kill, Newhook has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Newhook is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,311).
Newhook shoots left. Zegras is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,228).
Home / Away
Newhook
Zegras
Home
41.6% (1,061)
39.9% (882)
Away
42.0% (1,086)
37.4% (942)
By Period
Newhook
Zegras
P1
39.9%
40.2%
P2
41.9%
38.0%
P3
43.1%
37.7%
OT
80.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
43.6%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 16:09 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 07:29 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 16:07 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |