Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Newhook on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 39.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.1% vs Seguin 53.6% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Newhook 61.4%
Defensive zone
Seguin 56.0%
Neutral zone
Seguin 50.8%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Newhook
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Newhook
Seguin
Last 10: Newhook 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
3
0
Newhook
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
4
Newhook
Seguin
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Newhook
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (1,922)
53.7% (8,071)
-12.2%
Power Play
43.8% (208)
55.9% (810)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
49.3% (762)
-2.2%
On even strength, Seguin has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Newhook is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (836).
Newhook shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Newhook
Seguin
Home
41.6% (1,061)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
42.0% (1,086)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Newhook
Seguin
P1
39.9%
52.8%
P2
41.9%
53.3%
P3
43.1%
54.7%
OT
80.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 03:58 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 07:39 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:27 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:26 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 01:28 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 08:47 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 18:31 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 1 | 16:04 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |