Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +21.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 32.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 37.8% vs Seguin 55.4% (-21.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 54.7%
Defensive zone
Newhook 50.4%
Neutral zone
Seguin 60.3%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Newhook
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Newhook
Seguin
Last 7: Newhook 3-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
0
Newhook
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Newhook
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Newhook
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
35.2% (355)
56.5% (712)
-21.3%
Power Play
29.4% (34)
59.7% (67)
-30.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
44.9% (49)
-11.6%
On power play, Seguin has a +30.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Newhook is 32.7% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Newhook shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Newhook
Seguin
Home
38.1% (189)
58.5% (402)
Away
31.5% (203)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Newhook
Seguin
P1
33.9%
58.4%
P2
36.3%
54.7%
P3
33.8%
54.1%
Final 5 min
34.9%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
34.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:26 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 01:28 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 08:47 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 18:31 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 1 | 16:04 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |