Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 47.1% vs Seguin 55.4% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 65.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 50.5%
Neutral zone
Seguin 55.0%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Newhook
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Newhook
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (419)
56.9% (478)
-12.0%
Power Play
57.7% (71)
57.4% (54)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
51.3% (76)
-51.3%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +51.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Newhook is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Newhook shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Newhook
Seguin
Home
45.1% (246)
57.4% (317)
Away
48.0% (246)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Newhook
Seguin
P1
44.7%
50.3%
P2
49.7%
60.4%
P3
43.9%
58.0%
OT
66.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
56.1%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
46.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 03:58 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 07:39 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |