Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.8% vs Seguin 54.2% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 52.4%
Defensive zone
Newhook 51.2%
Neutral zone
Seguin 55.3%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Newhook
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Newhook
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Newhook
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (464)
55.0% (713)
-13.2%
Power Play
35.9% (39)
56.7% (104)
-20.8%
On power play, Seguin has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Newhook is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (194).
Newhook shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Newhook
Seguin
Home
42.4% (236)
56.2% (443)
Away
40.4% (267)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Newhook
Seguin
P1
42.9%
54.2%
P2
38.5%
52.9%
P3
43.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
36.1%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:27 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |