Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 37.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cirelli shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 47.0% vs Cirelli 49.1% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 53.9%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 63.5%
Neutral zone
Tuch 52.5%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Tuch
Cirelli
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tuch
Cirelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
0
1
Tuch
Cirelli
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Cirelli
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (54)
50.4% (613)
-4.1%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
69.9% (83)
-36.6%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
36.5% (208)
-9.2%
On power play, Cirelli has a +36.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cirelli shoots left. Tuch is 37.2% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Tuch shoots right. Cirelli is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Home / Away
Tuch
Cirelli
Home
48.5% (33)
54.2% (395)
Away
37.1% (35)
45.0% (509)
By Period
Tuch
Cirelli
P1
33.3%
50.8%
P2
46.2%
50.0%
P3
52.9%
46.6%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.7%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
42.6%
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 12:38 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |