Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Cirelli shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 46.9% vs Cirelli 51.2% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 75.0%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 72.5%
Neutral zone
Tuch 59.8%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
Tuch
Cirelli
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tuch
Cirelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
0
1
Tuch
Cirelli
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Cirelli
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (59)
52.1% (585)
-8.0%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
56.8% (74)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
46.5% (172)
-13.2%
On power play, Cirelli has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cirelli shoots left. Tuch is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Tuch shoots right. Cirelli is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Home / Away
Tuch
Cirelli
Home
46.9% (32)
52.4% (462)
Away
39.5% (43)
50.1% (369)
By Period
Tuch
Cirelli
P1
56.3%
50.7%
P2
35.5%
49.6%
P3
27.3%
53.3%
OT
0.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
57.9%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
42.7%
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | OT | 00:31 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |